First League · Mar 15, 2026 08:30
Ural
PWR 35
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
Ural
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ural Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ural
DLLWW
STABLE
Arsenal Tula
LLDDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 30% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 66% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Uralvs
1.66
Arsenal TulaGoal Probability
Ural
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Arsenal Tula
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Ural+9
Gap#11
Arsenal Tula
WR 60% 42 pts
WR 36% 29 pts
Ural
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Ural v Rotor V… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Ural v Fakel V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Ural v Akron | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Ural v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Ural v Yunnan … | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Ural v Lokomot… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Ural v Chengdu… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Ural v Pyunik … | 3-2 |
| Nov 29 | Ural v Volga U… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Ural v Spartak… | 1-1 |
Arsenal Tula
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Arsenal… v Volga U… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Arsenal… v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Arsenal… v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Arsenal… v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Arsenal… v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arsenal… v Chernom… | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Arsenal… v FC UFA | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Arsenal… v Chayka | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Arsenal… v Rotor V… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Arsenal… v Fakel V… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Arsenal Tula | 1-2 | Ural |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.