South Australia NPL · Mar 14, 2026 04:00
Adelaide United
PWR 57
Adelaide United II
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 57
2-2
predicted
Adelaide United II
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% home + 19% draw = 85% combined
92%
accuracy
1.23x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Adelaide United Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
85%
Home/Draw
1.23x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.07x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
59Attack0
65Defense100
Goals/G
1.70.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Adelaide United
WLDWD
STABLE
Adelaide Unite…
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.33
Adelaide Unitedvs
0.81
Adelaide Unite…Goal Probability
Adelaide Un…
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Adelaide Un…
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 6.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Adelaide Un…+2
Gap#7
Adelaide Un…
WR 46% 35 pts
WR 39% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Unit… | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 23 |
Adelaide United
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Croydon… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Stirlin… | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Adelaid… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 2-3 |
Adelaide Unite…
4.0%
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v White C… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Playfor… | 4-2 |
| Sep 06 | Adelaid… v MetroSt… | 2-1 |
| Aug 30 | Adelaid… v MetroSt… | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Adelaid… v White C… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Adelaid… v Modbury… | 5-0 |
| Aug 09 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 4-0 |
| Aug 02 | Adelaid… v Playfor… | 3-3 |
| Jul 26 | Adelaid… v Campbel… | 4-2 |
| Jun 14 | Adelaid… v White C… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 09, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 4-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
68%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Adelaide United II struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.