Copa do Brasil · Mar 11, 2026 00:30
Ponte Preta
PWR 50
Ponte Preta
PWR 50
1 - 0
FT
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 47
PWR 47
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Ponte Preta to win (55% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.26x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.56x
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
35Attack35
65Defense56
Goals/G
1.01.0
Conc/G
1.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ponte Preta
LLLDL
DOWN
Guaraní de Bagé
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa do Brasil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Ponte Pretavs
0.50
Guaraní de BagéGoal Probability
Ponte Preta
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Guaraní de …
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#60
Ponte Preta-32
Gap#28
Guaraní de …
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Guaraní de Ba… | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Ponte Preta
2.0%
| Feb 15 | Ponte P… v São Pau… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Ponte P… v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Ponte P… v Guaraní… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Ponte P… v Oeste | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | Ponte P… v São Ber… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ponte P… v Capivar… | 2-0 |
| Jan 15 | Ponte P… v Velo Cl… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Ponte P… v Corinth… | 3-0 |
| Oct 18 | Ponte P… v Londrina | 0-0 |
| Oct 11 | Ponte P… v Guaraní… | 2-0 |
Guaraní de Bagé
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Guaraní… v Monsoon | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guaraní… v Avenida | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Guaraní… v Caxias | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | Guaraní… v Avenida | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Guaraní… v Monsoon | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Guaraní… v Novo Ha… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Guaraní… v Remo | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
62%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guaraní de Bagé in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ponte Preta struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.