Premier League · Mar 18, 2026 15:00
Kara-Balta
PWR 35
Ilbirs
PWR 35
Kara-Balta
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Ilbirs
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kara-Balta
LDWLD
STABLE
Ilbirs
LDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Kara-Baltavs
0.66
IlbirsGoal Probability
Kara-Balta
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Ilbirs
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Kara-Balta-1
Gap#10
Ilbirs
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Kara-Balta
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Kara-Ba… v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Kara-Ba… v OshMU A… | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | Kara-Ba… v Asiagoal | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Kara-Ba… v Ozgon | 0-4 |
| Oct 24 | Kara-Ba… v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Kara-Ba… v Alay | 2-0 |
| Oct 10 | Kara-Ba… v Bishkek… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Kara-Ba… v Aris | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Kara-Ba… v Muras U… | 3-0 |
| Sep 23 | Kara-Ba… v Dordoi … | 0-1 |
Ilbirs
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Ilbirs v Toktogul | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Ilbirs v Alay | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Ilbirs v Abdish-… | 2-2 |
| Nov 03 | Ilbirs v Asiagoal | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Ilbirs v Kara-Ba… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ilbirs v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Oct 12 | Ilbirs v Talant | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Ilbirs v Ozgon | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Ilbirs v Aris | 0-2 |
| Sep 23 | Ilbirs v Alay | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kara-Balta | 1-1 | Ilbirs |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Ilbirs | 0-2 | Kara-Balta |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.