Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 15:00
Ilbirs
PWR 35
Neftchi
PWR 35
Ilbirs
PWR 35
2-0
predicted
Neftchi
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ilbirs Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ilbirs
LDDWD
STABLE
Neftchi
LLLDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Ilbirsvs
0.62
NeftchiGoal Probability
Ilbirs
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Neftchi
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Ilbirs+5
Gap#15
Neftchi
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Ilbirs
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Ilbirs v Toktogul | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Ilbirs v Alay | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Ilbirs v Abdish-… | 2-2 |
| Nov 03 | Ilbirs v Asiagoal | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Ilbirs v Kara-Ba… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ilbirs v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Oct 12 | Ilbirs v Talant | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Ilbirs v Ozgon | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Ilbirs v Aris | 0-2 |
| Sep 23 | Ilbirs v Alay | 1-1 |
Neftchi
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Neftchi v Alay | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Neftchi v Alay | 4-0 |
| Nov 04 | Neftchi v Alay | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | Neftchi v Asiagoal | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Neftchi v OshMU A… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Neftchi v Talant | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Neftchi v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 3-2 |
| Sep 17 | Neftchi v Abdish-… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 08, 2025 | Neftchi | 2-0 | Ilbirs |
| May 22, 2025 | Ilbirs | 2-2 | Neftchi |
| Nov 03, 2024 | Ilbirs | 1-0 | Neftchi |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ilbirs | 1-2 | Neftchi |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Neftchi | 3-2 | Ilbirs |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Neftchi | 1-3 | Ilbirs |
| Aug 04, 2023 | Ilbirs | 1-1 | Neftchi |
| Apr 03, 2023 | Neftchi | 1-0 | Ilbirs |
| Nov 10, 2022 | Neftchi | 1-0 | Ilbirs |
| Apr 11, 2022 | Ilbirs | 3-1 | Neftchi |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Neftchi struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.