Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 14:00
Alay
PWR 35
Kara-Balta
PWR 35
Alay
PWR 35
VS
Kara-Balta
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alay Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alay
WWWDW
UP
Kara-Balta
LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Alayvs
0.20
Kara-BaltaGoal Probability
Alay
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Kara-Balta
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (13%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Alay+8
Gap#11
Kara-Balta
WR 0% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Alay
18.0%
| Mar 08 | Alay v Neftchi | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alay v OshMU A… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Alay v Talant | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Alay v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alay v Neftchi | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Alay v Muras U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alay v OshMU A… | 2-2 |
| Nov 04 | Alay v Neftchi | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Alay v Ozgon | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Alay v Bars | 3-0 |
Kara-Balta
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Kara-Ba… v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Kara-Ba… v OshMU A… | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | Kara-Ba… v Asiagoal | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Kara-Ba… v Ozgon | 0-4 |
| Oct 24 | Kara-Ba… v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Kara-Ba… v Alay | 2-0 |
| Oct 10 | Kara-Ba… v Bishkek… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Kara-Ba… v Aris | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Kara-Ba… v Muras U… | 3-0 |
| Sep 23 | Kara-Ba… v Dordoi … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kara-Balta | 2-0 | Alay |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Alay | 6-0 | Kara-Balta |
| May 22, 2025 | Kara-Balta | 0-1 | Alay |
| Apr 03, 2025 | Alay | 2-1 | Kara-Balta |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Alay | 1-1 | Kara-Balta |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Alay | 2-2 | Kara-Balta |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Kara-Balta | 0-1 | Alay |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Alay | 2-0 | Kara-Balta |
| May 31, 2023 | Kara-Balta | 0-4 | Alay |
| May 06, 2023 | Alay | 1-0 | Kara-Balta |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Alay in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.