K League 1 · Mar 17, 2026 10:30
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
PWR 35
Gwangju FC
PWR 35
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Gwangju FC
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (41%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gimcheon Sangm…
DDLWL
STABLE
Gwangju FC
DDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Gimcheon Sangm…vs
0.20
Gwangju FCGoal Probability
Gimcheon Sa…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Gwangju FC
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Gimcheon Sa…+2
Gap#8
Gwangju FC
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Gimcheon Sangm…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Gimcheo… v Jeonbuk… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Gimcheo… v Pohang … | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Gimcheo… v Daejeon… | 0-3 |
| Nov 22 | Gimcheo… v FC Seoul | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Gimcheo… v Gangwon… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Gimcheo… v Pohang … | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Gimcheo… v Jeonbuk… | 2-3 |
| Oct 18 | Gimcheo… v FC Anya… | 4-1 |
| Oct 05 | Gimcheo… v Ulsan H… | 3-0 |
| Sep 27 | Gimcheo… v Pohang … | 2-0 |
Gwangju FC
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Gwangju… v Incheon… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Gwangju… v Jeju Un… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Gwangju… v Jeonbuk… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Gwangju… v Suwon FC | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Gwangju… v Ulsan H… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Gwangju… v Daegu FC | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Gwangju… v Jeju Un… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Gwangju… v FC Anya… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Gwangju… v Ulsan H… | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | Gwangju… v Daegu FC | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jul 22, 2025 | Gwangju FC | 1-1 | Gimcheon Sang… |
| May 05, 2025 | Gwangju FC | 1-0 | Gimcheon Sang… |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Gimcheon Sang… | 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Gimcheon Sang… | 2-0 | Gwangju FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.