K League 1 · Mar 14, 2026 07:30
Daejeon Hana Citizen
PWR 35
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
PWR 35
Daejeon Hana Citizen
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Daejeon Hana Citizen Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)2-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.91x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Daejeon Hana C…
DDDDW
STABLE
Gimcheon Sangm…
DDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Daejeon Hana C…vs
1.19
Gimcheon Sangm…Goal Probability
Daejeon Han…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Gimcheon Sa…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Daejeon Han…+1
Gap#6
Gimcheon Sa…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Daejeon Hana C…
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Daejeon… v Bucheon… | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Daejeon… v FC Anya… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Daejeon… v Sogndal | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Daejeon… v IF Elfs… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Daejeon… v Gimcheo… | 0-3 |
| Nov 22 | Daejeon… v Gangwon… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Daejeon… v Jeonbuk… | 3-1 |
| Nov 01 | Daejeon… v FC Seoul | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Daejeon… v Pohang … | 2-0 |
| Oct 18 | Daejeon… v Jeju Un… | 3-1 |
Gimcheon Sangm…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Gimcheo… v Jeonbuk… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Gimcheo… v Pohang … | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Gimcheo… v Daejeon… | 0-3 |
| Nov 22 | Gimcheo… v FC Seoul | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Gimcheo… v Gangwon… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Gimcheo… v Pohang … | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Gimcheo… v Jeonbuk… | 2-3 |
| Oct 18 | Gimcheo… v FC Anya… | 4-1 |
| Oct 05 | Gimcheo… v Ulsan H… | 3-0 |
| Sep 27 | Gimcheo… v Pohang … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gimcheon Sang… | 0-3 | Daejeon Hana … |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Daejeon Hana … | 2-1 | Gimcheon Sang… |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Daejeon Hana … | 0-0 | Gimcheon Sang… |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Gimcheon Sang… | 0-2 | Daejeon Hana … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.