MFL Cup · Mar 11, 2026 14:00
Penang FC
PWR 68
Kelantan United
PWR 47
Penang FC
PWR 68
1 - 0
FT
Kelantan United
PWR 47
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 3.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Penang FC Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.5x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
88Attack53
65Defense39
Goals/G
2.51.5
Conc/G
1.01.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Penang FC
DWLDL
STABLE
Kelantan United
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Penang FCvs
0.85
Kelantan UnitedGoal Probability
Penang FC
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Kelantan Un…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)4-0 (10%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (7%)5-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Penang FC-1
Gap#2
Kelantan Un…
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penang FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Kelantan Unit… | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Penang FC
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Penang … v Negeri … | 3-3 |
| Mar 03 | Penang … v Kelanta… | 2-5 |
| Feb 27 | Penang … v Johor D… | 0-4 |
| Jan 31 | Penang … v Kelanta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Penang … v Kuching… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Penang … v Kuching… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Penang … v Kuala L… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Penang … v Melaka | 5-0 |
| Jan 03 | Penang … v Terengg… | 0-2 |
| Dec 23 | Penang … v DPMM FC | 2-0 |
Kelantan United
4.0%
| Mar 06 | Kelanta… v Terengg… | 0-2 |
| Mar 03 | Kelanta… v Penang … | 2-5 |
| Feb 27 | Kelanta… v DPMM FC | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Kelanta… v Pdrm | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Kelanta… v Imigres… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Kelanta… v Imigres… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Kelanta… v Penang … | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Kelanta… v Selangor | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | Kelanta… v Selangor | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Kelanta… v Sabah FA | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 03, 2026 | Kelantan Unit… | 2-5 | Penang FC |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kelantan Unit… | 1-1 | Penang FC |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kelantan Unit… | 0-1 | Penang FC |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Kelantan Unit… | 1-6 | Penang FC |
| Aug 01, 2024 | Penang FC | 3-0 | Kelantan Unit… |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Kelantan Unit… | 1-0 | Penang FC |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Penang FC | 2-0 | Kelantan Unit… |
| Oct 02, 2020 | Penang FC | 4-0 | Kelantan Unit… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
61%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kelantan United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.