Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 14, 2026 23:30
Albion FC
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Albion FC
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Albion FC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Albion FC
DLDWL
STABLE
Peñarol Montev…
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Albion FCvs
1.01
Peñarol Montev…Goal Probability
Albion FC
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Peñarol Mon…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Albion FC-6
Gap#5
Peñarol Mon…
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
Albion FC
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Albion … v Progreso | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Albion … v Racing … | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Albion … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Albion … v Cerrito | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | Albion … v Liverpo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Albion … v Boston … | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Albion … v Peñarol… | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Albion … v Central… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Albion … v Tacuare… | 2-0 |
| Oct 12 | Albion … v Rentist… | 4-1 |
Peñarol Montev…
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Peñarol… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | Peñarol… v Colo-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 13, 2026 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-2 | Albion FC |
| Aug 08, 2022 | Albion FC | 1-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 19, 2022 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-0 | Albion FC |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Peñarol Monte… | 4-0 | Albion FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.