Esiliiga A · Mar 12, 2026 16:00
Maardu
PWR 35
Elva
PWR 35
Maardu
PWR 35
VS
Elva
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maardu Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.14x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.42x
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maardu
LWDWD
STABLE
Elva
DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.33
Maarduvs
0.36
ElvaGoal Probability
Maardu
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Elva
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Maardu-4
Gap#5
Elva
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Maardu
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Maardu v Tallinn… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Maardu v Legion | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Maardu v Kuressa… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 3-3 |
| Oct 26 | Maardu v Narva U… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Maardu v Johvi P… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Maardu v JK Taba… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Maardu v Tartu K… | 2-2 |
| Sep 28 | Maardu v Paide II | 2-2 |
Elva
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Elva v FC Tall… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Elva v Valmier… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Elva v Smiltene | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Elva v Skanste | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Elva v Nõmme U… | 5-0 |
| Nov 02 | Elva v Flora II | 2-0 |
| Oct 30 | Elva v Tallinn… | 1-2 |
| Oct 27 | Elva v Tartu W… | 3-2 |
| Oct 23 | Elva v FCI Lev… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Elva v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 14, 2021 | Maardu | 2-1 | Elva |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Elva | 0-1 | Maardu |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Elva | 0-6 | Maardu |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
35%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.