Virsliga · Mar 15, 2026 14:00
Super Nova
PWR 35
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
Super Nova
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Super Nova
LLDWW
DOWN
FS Jelgava
WLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Super Novavs
0.87
FS JelgavaGoal Probability
Super Nova
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
FS Jelgava
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Super Nova-3
Gap#3
FS Jelgava
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Super Nova
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Super N… v Auda | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Super N… v Paide | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Super N… v Kalju N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Super N… v Trans N… | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Super N… v FK Liep… | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | Super N… v Rīgas FS | 1-3 |
| Oct 25 | Super N… v BFC Dau… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Super N… v Grobiņa | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Super N… v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Super N… v Tukums | 2-1 |
FS Jelgava
12.0%
| Mar 08 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FS Jelg… v Nõmme U… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | FS Jelg… v Metta /… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | FS Jelg… v BFC Dau… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | FS Jelg… v Auda | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | FS Jelg… v Riga FC | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Super Nova | 1-1 | FS Jelgava |
| Jul 20, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 1-0 | Super Nova |
| May 21, 2025 | Super Nova | 0-0 | FS Jelgava |
| Apr 05, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 2-1 | Super Nova |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.