Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Ararat
PWR 35
Ararat
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Gandzasar
PWR 35
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (56%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (4%)0-2 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
2%
Under 2.5
98%
98%
BTTS
No
No 6%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ararat
WLLLL
STABLE
Gandzasar
DDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
Araratvs
0.21
GandzasarGoal Probability
Ararat
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Gandzasar
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Ararat-2
Gap#8
Gandzasar
WR 0% 6 pts
WR 0% 11 pts
Ararat
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Ararat v Van | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Ararat v Banants… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Ararat v Van | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Ararat v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Nov 21 | Ararat v Ararat-… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Ararat v Shirak | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Ararat v Banants… | 0-1 |
| Oct 30 | Ararat v Sardara… | 0-3 |
| Oct 27 | Ararat v Artsakh | 0-3 |
| Oct 19 | Ararat v BKMA | 4-0 |
Gandzasar
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Gandzas… v Banants… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Gandzas… v BKMA | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Gandzas… v Shirak | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Gandzas… v Van | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Gandzas… v Alashke… | 1-0 |
| Oct 29 | Gandzas… v Pyunik … | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Gandzas… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Oct 19 | Gandzas… v Ararat-… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Gandzas… v Ararat-… | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Gandzas… v Pyunik … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 01, 2025 | Gandzasar | 1-1 | Ararat |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ararat struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.