Copa do Brasil · Mar 11, 2026 22:30
Athletic Club
PWR 56
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 44
Athletic Club
PWR 56
0 - 0
FT
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 44
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Athletic Club to win (85% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
85%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.98x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
88Attack35
30Defense48
Goals/G
2.51.0
Conc/G
2.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletic Club
DDLDW
STABLE
Ypiranga-RS
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa do Brasil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Athletic Clubvs
1.22
Ypiranga-RSGoal Probability
Athletic Cl…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Ypiranga-RS
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#38
Athletic Cl…+28
Gap#66
Ypiranga-RS
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Ypiranga-RS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Athletic Club
10.0%
| Feb 14 | Athleti… v Tombense | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Athleti… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Athleti… v Uberlân… | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Athleti… v Betim | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Athleti… v Pouso A… | 3-4 |
| Jan 17 | Athleti… v Democra… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Athleti… v Uniao T… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Athleti… v América… | 3-0 |
| Nov 15 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | Athleti… v Ferrovi… | 2-1 |
Ypiranga-RS
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Ypirang… v São Jos… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ypirang… v Macapá | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Ypirang… v Paranoá | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Ypirang… v Santos | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Ypirang… v Oratório | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Ypirang… v Caxias | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Ypirang… v São José | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ypirang… v São Luiz | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ypiranga-RS | 2-1 | Athletic Club |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Athletic Club | 0-0 | Ypiranga-RS |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Athletic Club | 3-1 | Ypiranga-RS |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
52%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ypiranga-RS struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.