Sul-Matogrossense · Mar 11, 2026 23:30
Corumbaense
PWR 0
PWR 0
VS
Dourados Atlético
PWR 35
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Corumbaense Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Corumbaense
STABLE
Dourados Atlét…
DDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Corumbaensevs
0.69
Dourados Atlét…Goal Probability
Corumbaense
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Dourados At…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Corumbaense+3
Gap#6
Dourados At…
WR 50% 13 pts
WR 0% 10 pts
Corumbaense
50%
No recent data
Dourados Atlét…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Dourado… v Tombense | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Dourado… v Cr Aqui… | 3-3 |
| Feb 21 | Dourado… v Tombense | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Dourado… v Batagua… | 7-2 |
| Feb 11 | Dourado… v Jataien… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Dourado… v Operári… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Dourado… v Costa R… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Dourado… v Águia N… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Dourado… v Portugu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Dourado… v Ivinhema | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.