USL Championship · Mar 15, 2026 02:00
Monterey Bay
PWR 36
El Paso Locomotive
PWR 42
Monterey Bay
PWR 36
1-1
predicted
El Paso Locomotive
PWR 42
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
32Attack50
43Defense45
Goals/G
0.91.4
Conc/G
1.61.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Monterey Bay
LDLLW
STABLE
El Paso Locomo…
DWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Monterey Bayvs
1.13
El Paso Locomo…Goal Probability
Monterey Bay
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
El Paso Loc…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#27
Monterey Bay-15
Gap#12
El Paso Loc…
WR 31% 15 pts
WR 30% 46 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 15 |
| El Paso Locom… | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 58 | 46 |
Monterey Bay
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Montere… v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Montere… v Las Veg… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Montere… v Pittsbu… | 0-3 |
| Oct 04 | Montere… v Tampa B… | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Montere… v Sacrame… | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Montere… v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Montere… v Oakland… | 1-0 |
| Jun 29 | Montere… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Montere… v Oakland… | 3-2 |
| Jun 22 | Montere… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
El Paso Locomo…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | El Paso… v Colorad… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | El Paso… v New Mex… | 4-1 |
| Nov 02 | El Paso… v Phoenix… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | El Paso… v San Ant… | 5-2 |
| Oct 19 | El Paso… v FC UFA | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | El Paso… v Lexingt… | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | El Paso… v Orange … | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | El Paso… v Oakland… | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | El Paso… v Rhode I… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | El Paso… v Charles… | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monterey Bay struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.