USL Championship · Mar 15, 2026 02:00
Oakland Roots
PWR 38
New Mexico United
PWR 48
Oakland Roots
PWR 38
2-1
predicted
New Mexico United
PWR 48
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Oakland Roots to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (4%)1-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
78%
78%
Team Comparison
49Attack50
35Defense52
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.81.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Oakland Roots
WWDDL
STABLE
New Mexico Uni…
LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.56
Oakland Rootsvs
0.99
New Mexico Uni…Goal Probability
Oakland Roo…
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
New Mexico …
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)4-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 5.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 6.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Oakland Roo…-7
Gap#10
New Mexico …
WR 28% 41 pts
WR 41% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Roots | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 55 | 72 | 41 |
| New Mexico Un… | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49 | 47 | 50 |
Oakland Roots
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Oakland… v Montere… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Oakland… v Lexingt… | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Oakland… v New Mex… | 3-3 |
| Oct 12 | Oakland… v Las Veg… | 2-2 |
| Oct 08 | Oakland… v Alloa A… | 1-3 |
| Oct 01 | Oakland… v El Paso… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Oakland… v Phoenix… | 3-3 |
| Sep 21 | Oakland… v FC UFA | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Oakland… v Charles… | 3-3 |
| Sep 07 | Oakland… v Pittsbu… | 0-2 |
New Mexico Uni…
4.0%
| Feb 28 | New Mex… v El Paso… | 4-1 |
| Feb 03 | New Mex… v Louisvi… | 1-4 |
| Jan 23 | New Mex… v Panama | 0-1 |
| Nov 19 | New Mex… v Paraguay | 1-2 |
| Nov 18 | New Mex… v Portuga… | 0-5 |
| Nov 16 | New Mex… v FC Tulsa | 3-0 |
| Nov 14 | New Mex… v Argenti… | 2-2 |
| Nov 10 | New Mex… v Switzer… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | New Mex… v Orange … | 2-1 |
| Nov 07 | New Mex… v Côte d'… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 19, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 3-3 | Oakland Roots |
| May 25, 2025 | Oakland Roots | 0-3 | New Mexico Un… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
New Mexico United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.