USL Championship · Mar 14, 2026 23:00
Lexington
PWR 18
Sacramento Republic
PWR 55
Lexington
PWR 18
1-2
predicted
Sacramento Republic
PWR 55
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sacramento Republic Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
60%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
28Attack49
23Defense71
Goals/G
0.81.4
Conc/G
2.20.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lexington
LWWLW
STABLE
Sacramento Rep…
WLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy77%
HOME_LEAKINGAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Lexingtonvs
1.43
Sacramento Rep…Goal Probability
Lexington
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Sacramento …
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#32
Lexington-29
Gap#3
Sacramento …
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 43% 67 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| Sacramento Re… | 42 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 35 | 67 |
Lexington
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Lexingt… v Louisvi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Lexingt… v Fort Wa… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lexingt… v Pittsbu… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Lexingt… v Atlanta… | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Lexingt… v Orlando… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Lexingt… v Oakland… | 3-0 |
| Oct 17 | Lexingt… v Sacrame… | 2-2 |
| Oct 11 | Lexingt… v El Paso… | 1-2 |
| Jul 26 | Lexingt… v Louisvi… | 1-2 |
| May 02 | Lexingt… v Louisvi… | 2-0 |
Sacramento Rep…
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Sacrame… v FC Tulsa | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sacrame… v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Sacrame… v Orange … | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Sacrame… v Miami FC | 0-1 |
| Oct 23 | Sacrame… v Charles… | 1-0 |
| Oct 17 | Sacrame… v Lexingt… | 2-2 |
| Oct 11 | Sacrame… v Alloa A… | 3-2 |
| Oct 02 | Sacrame… v Orange … | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Sacrame… v Montere… | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Sacrame… v Colorad… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 17, 2025 | Lexington | 2-2 | Sacramento Re… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lexington in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.