Premier Division · Mar 08, 2026 20:15
Aston Villa
PWR 64
Aston Villa
PWR 64
1 - 0
FT
John Hughes
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.3/g, Away concedes 2.4/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aston Villa Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
82Attack0
45Defense100
Goals/G
2.30.0
Conc/G
1.60.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aston Villa
LLDWL
DOWN
John Hughes
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Aston Villavs
0.42
John HughesGoal Probability
Aston Villa
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
John Hughes
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Aston Villa+7
Gap#10
John Hughes
WR 67% 50 pts
WR 15% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 50 |
| John Hughes | 27 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 65 | 14 |
Aston Villa
6.0%
| Mar 04 | Aston V… v Chelsea | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Aston V… v Wolverh… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aston V… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Aston V… v Garden … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aston V… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Aston V… v Brighto… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aston V… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Aston V… v Pigotts… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Aston V… v Brentfo… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Aston V… v RB Salz… | 3-2 |
John Hughes
4.0%
| Feb 14 | John Hu… v Grenades | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | John Hu… v Jenning… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | John Hu… v Garden … | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | John Hu… v Pigotts… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | John Hu… v Potters… | 2-1 |
| Jan 05 | John Hu… v Rangers… | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | John Hu… v Attacki… | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | John Hu… v Old Road | 0-4 |
| Dec 08 | John Hu… v Al Ain | 1-5 |
| Nov 30 | John Hu… v Green C… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aston Villa struggling (3L in last 5)
John Hughes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.