UEFA Europa League · Mar 19, 2026 20:00
Aston Villa
PWR 35
Lille
PWR 37
Aston Villa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Lille
PWR 37
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Aston Villa to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (48%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (6%)0-2 (4%)2-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack51
100Defense55
Goals/G
0.01.7
Conc/G
0.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aston Villa
WLLDW
STABLE
Lille
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): UEFA Europa League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Aston Villavs
0.43
LilleGoal Probability
Aston Villa
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Lille
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Aston Villa+16
Gap#18
Lille
WR 100% 21 pts
WR 25% 12 pts
Aston Villa
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Aston V… v John Hu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Aston V… v Chelsea | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Aston V… v Wolverh… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aston V… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Aston V… v Remo St… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aston V… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Aston V… v Brighto… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aston V… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Aston V… v Pigotts… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Aston V… v Brentfo… | 0-1 |
Lille
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Lille v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lille v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lille v Lyon | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lille v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 18, 2024 | Lille | 2-1 | Aston Villa |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Lille |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
94%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.