UEFA Europa League · Mar 19, 2026 17:45
Lyon
PWR 42
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Lyon
PWR 42
1-0
predicted
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Lyon to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
50Attack40
70Defense69
Goals/G
1.71.3
Conc/G
1.01.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lyon
DDLLW
STABLE
Celta de Vigo
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): UEFA Europa League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Lyonvs
0.67
Celta de VigoGoal Probability
Lyon
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Celta de Vi…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Lyon+15
Gap#16
Celta de Vi…
WR 100% 21 pts
WR 25% 13 pts
Lyon
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Lyon v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Lyon v Lens | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lyon v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lyon v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lyon v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Laval | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lyon v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lyon v PAOK | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Lyon v Metz | 2-5 |
Celta de Vigo
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Celta d… v Girona | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Celta d… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Celta d… v Osasuna | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Celta d… v Getafe | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Celta d… v FK Crve… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Celta d… v Real So… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 29, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 1-0 | Lyon |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.