UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 12, 2026 17:45
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
Sparta Praha
PWR 0
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Sparta Praha
PWR 0
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: AZ Alkmaar to win (92% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
92%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.88x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AZ Alkmaar
LWLWW
STABLE
Sparta Praha
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
AZ Alkmaarvs
0.87
Sparta PrahaGoal Probability
AZ Alkmaar
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Sparta Praha
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
AZ Alkmaar-10
Gap#4
Sparta Praha
WR 67% 10 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
AZ Alkmaar
12.0%
| Mar 07 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | AZ Alkm… v Telstar | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | AZ Alkm… v Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | AZ Alkm… v Artsakh | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | AZ Alkm… v Sparta … | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | AZ Alkm… v Artsakh | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | AZ Alkm… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-3 |
Sparta Praha
50%
No recent data
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
30%
Market
49%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.