UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 12, 2026 17:45

Samsunspor
PWR 35

Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49

Samsunspor
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.82x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.48x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack68
100Defense74
Goals/G
0.02.3
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Samsunspor
LWDWD
STABLE
Rayo Vallecano
DWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
3.30
Samsunsporvs
0.28
Rayo VallecanoGoal Probability
Samsunspor
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Rayo Vallec…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Samsunspor-7
Gap#5
Rayo Vallec…
WR 67% 10 pts
WR 33% 13 pts
Samsunspor
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Samsuns… v Fenerba… | 3-2 |
| Mar 05 | Samsuns… v Antalya… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Samsuns… v Gazişeh… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Samsuns… v Shkëndi… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Samsuns… v Fatih K… | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Samsuns… v Shkëndi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Samsuns… v Antalya… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Samsuns… v Trabzon… | 0-3 |
| Feb 03 | Samsuns… v BB Bodr… | 2-0 |
| Jan 30 | Samsuns… v Kasımpa… | 0-1 |
Rayo Vallecano
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Rayo Va… v Sevilla | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Rayo Va… v Oviedo | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Rayo Va… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rayo Va… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Rayo Va… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Rayo Va… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Rayo Va… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Rayo Va… v Celta d… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rayo Va… v Alavés | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Rayo Va… v Mallorca | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
36%
Market
35%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.